Elections in Belarus 2015

Forecasts: Lukashenka will win in first round

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Alyaksandr Lukashenka will win the first round of elections. This forecast was made by the Independent Institute of Socio-Economic and Political Studies in its September survey.

Rating of Alyaksandr Lukashenka has increased and is now at 45.7% (compared to June’s 38.6%), Tatsiana Karatkevich has 17, 9%, Syarhei Haydukevich – 11.4%, Mikalai Ulakhovich – 3.6%.

But the actual results depend on the turnout, so with the turnout of 72.5% announced in the survey, the election results should be as follows: Lukashenka – 64%, Karatkevich – 25%, with higher turnout, 56% will vote for the incumbent president, for Karatkevich – 22% .

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